Q2 2025 Market Outlook & Investment Strategy
Steep, erratically implemented US tariffs have shaken financial markets, business and consumer confidence, and the global economy. Growth is expected to slow—with the potential for a sharper deterioration if threatened ‘reciprocal tariffs’ are implemented later in the year. To be sure, the US can fall back on strong fundamentals including its technology leadership and greater dynamism and competitiveness than many peer economies—all of which Trump is keen to promote through supply side and tax reform. And the President has already retreated from some of his maximalist policy positions as the dollar sinks and US Treasury market swings wildly. But the volatility is likely to persist—and a ‘hard landing’ may yet close out this cycle. In this environment, we like precious metals and cash and government bonds, as well as hedge fund diversifiers
